Posts Tagged ‘Sarkozy’

Austerity vs. Growth after the Elections in France and Greece

May 10, 2012

Four years after the worst economic crisis since the Great Depression, the world economy is still stagnating and we have two plans of action to choose from to get us out of this crisis; austerity or growth. The contention of those in favour of austerity is that nations have been spending too much in recent years (or decades) and this spending must be stopped and cut back. This means cuts in social programs and a period of general hardship, but this all necessary in order to undo the consequences of a previous period of excess and it simply must be endured. A program of growth, on the other hand, focuses on government spending in order to invest in national economies and spur economic growth. Proponents of this path argue that a path of austerity would, in fact, harm the world economy by taking huge amounts of money out of it.

The election of Hollande has brought these two paths head to head with each other. Until now, Angela Merkel and Nicolas Sarkozy, as leaders of the two most powerful nations in the Eurozone, have been imposing a path of austerity on the rest of Europe. Last Sunday, Merkozy was broken up, and, while Hollande’s economic agenda isn’t as clear as Sarkozy’s, what is clear, is that he rejects the path of austerity and will be advancing one that is growth oriented. Merkel remains dedicated to austerity, and her position, as the leader of Germany, remains strong, though significantly weakened without France behind her, and this will be important if there is a clash with the Greek government.

The question of austerity or growth, and the election of governments that favour growth, isn’t just a matter of differing opinions on ecomic policy. The attitude behind austerity was that democracy had gotten out of hand, people had insisted on so many public services that countries had to take on massive amounts of debt that they would never be able to pay back, and now sensible, pragmatically minded people had to step in and put things right again. Greece became the poster boy of democracy run-amok with massive corruption, tax evasion, and retired grandmothers receiving more pension than they were owed. From its introduction, austerity has meant policies created by elites that disproportionately harm the middle and lower classes, enacted with the sense of paying a penance after an era of gluttony.

The election of Hollande in France and Syriza in Greece signal that the people are beginning to assert themselves against uncaring technocrats and indifferent elites. Simply being opposed to austerity enabled a neo-Nazi party to gain seats in the Greek parliament. And some people who voted for the far right Le Pen in the French election in April, voted for the socialist candidate, François Hollande, in the run-off.

Austerity has held a monopoly on the economic discussion in Europe for the last two years and the elections last weekend have just thrown the choice of which path the continent will follow up in the air.

Countries Holding Important Elections in 2012

February 14, 2012

This is a list of some countries that will be holding presidential elections to keep our eyes on this year. I didn’t mean for it to be a list of only presidential elections, but of important elections. That they’re all for president is just a coincidence. I also don’t claim that this list is exhaustive and I’m sorry for all the wikipedia links.

1. Russia – March 4

According to wikipedia, there are two other candidates for President, but I don’t think there’s much doubt about who will win. However, after the parliamentary elections a few months earlier, there were massive demonstrations against Putin. Will that happen again? Not to mention, this time Putin gets a six-year term and can run for a second, which means he could stay in office until 2024.

2. France – April 22/May 6

The second date is for a runoff election. The main contenders are Nicolas Sarkozy and François Hollande of the Socialist Party. I don’t think anyone imagines that Europe’s economic troubles will be over by May, so imagine the drastic turn events can take if Merkozy is broken up.

3. Egypt – June 30

All eyes are on Egypt, the country that inspired the world during the Arab Spring (Occupy Wall Street’s tactic of occupation was based on the occupation of Tahrir Square, for example) and where reality is starting to set in.

4. Mexico – July 1

Fewer eyes are on this country, which will be holding it’s election the day after Egypt. But, it’s important to note that the outgoing President, Felipe Calderon, was the one who made the first major commitment to end the drug war in that country. A new President could change the government’s approach towards it.

5. Venezuela – October 7

It was made official who Chavez’s opponent will be just last week. I don’t know how much of a chance Henrique Capriles Radonski, Chavez’s opponent, has of winning, but Chavez has lost referenda in the past, showing that his regime may not be as oppressive as it’s sometimes made out to be. At the same time, if Radonski did win, would it change in any significant way the relationship betweeen Venezuela and the US?

6. United States – November 6

Finally. The Big One. Enough has already and is yet to be said about it, so I won’t bother putting anything here.


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